Will Elon Musk deny the results of the 2024 election if Trump loses? 🗳️🙅‍♂️🚫
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Before the inauguration of the next US President (January 20th, 2025), will Elon Musk express the belief that the results of the 2024 election were rigged or stolen, if Trump loses? If Trump wins, this will N/A.

Either speaking, or posting himself, or sharing others’ posts disputing the results of the 2024 election will Resolve YES. This could be denying any state’s certification of the vote, once certified, or the outcome of entire Presidential election.

This will Resolve NO upon the inauguration of the next US President. This will Resolve N/A if Donald Trump wins the election.

As this may ultimately involve a subjective call, I won’t be trading in this market.

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Despite his endless claims about election fraud, Musk told the Atlantic this month he would accept the results of the 2024 election – with a caveat.
“If there are questions of election integrity, they should be properly investigated and neither be dismissed out of hand nor unreasonably questioned,” he said. “If, after review of the election results, it turns out that Kamala wins, that win should be recognized and not disputed.”

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/12/elon-musk-twitter-x-elections-misinformation?utm_source=perplexity

bought Ṁ100 NO

What’s the bar for “dispute”? If he’s like “we need to make sure it was fair,” is that disputing it?

@dominic no, if he echoes, shares, or fabricates a lie about something which has been demonstrably proven to be true, this is disputing the results of the election.

Trump crossed from skeptic to denier after losing the lawsuits, not before.

bought Ṁ50 YES

It seems plausible to me that Trump denies the results in social media and then Elon shares a link to Trump's post.. even if that doesn't imply Elon himself denies the results 🤔

Interesting phrasing, and how different the tone plays when it’s swapped:

“Will Mark Cuban deny the results of the 2024 election if Harris loses?”

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"Either speaking, or posting himself, or sharing others’ posts disputing the results of the 2024 election will Resolve YES."

The guy will re-post or qote tweet anything. I'm surprised it's trading so cheaply

bought Ṁ15 NO

On the cynical view that Elon Musk is cozying up to Trump in part to make is life easier under a Trump presidency, then what would be the point of going down with the ship if Trump loses?

bought Ṁ25 YES

His own ship keeps going down every day.

bought Ṁ5 YES

He's not acting rationally, he's acting impulsively based in part on the views of the people around him

bought Ṁ50 YES

I don't think he’s cozying up to Trump to make his life easier. That doesn't explain any of his other behavior leading up to this or his treatment of his own child.

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