Will Elon Musk run in the 2036 Presidential Election.
Standard
13
Ṁ6432036
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@BTE I'm in the United States. I created this market because I did not see the question be asked. I feel like this site can be used as a place to learn things, almost like a crowd-sourced way of asking google.
@DanielKilian The reason it wasn't asked is because it's impossible for him to run. You have to be born in the U.S. to be eligible to run for president, but Musk was born in South Africa. And that's in the Constitution, so it's very unlikely that it would change before 2036. In reality, this market should be <<0.1%, but discount rates make it too costly to bet it all the way down there.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk deny the results of the 2024 election if Trump loses? 🗳️🙅♂️🚫
63% chance
Will Elon Musk run for US presidency?
Will Elon Musk run for US President before 2035?
18% chance
Will Elon Musk run for president in 2024?
5% chance
Will Elon Musk run in the 2024 Presidential Election?
3% chance
Will Elon Musk deny the results of the 2024 election? 🗳️🙅♂️🚫
54% chance
Will Elon Musk run for elected government office this decade?
27% chance
Elon Musk's 2024: What Will He Do Next?
Will Elon Musk run for public office in the US before 2034
20% chance
Will Elon Musk run in the 2032 Presidential Election
6% chance