Before the inauguration of the next US President (January 20th, 2025), will Elon Musk express the belief that the results of the 2024 election were rigged or stolen, if Trump loses? If Trump wins, this will N/A.
Either speaking, or posting himself, or sharing othersโ posts disputing the results of the 2024 election will Resolve YES. This could be denying any stateโs certification of the vote, once certified, or the outcome of entire Presidential election.
This will Resolve NO upon the inauguration of the next US President. This will Resolve N/A if Donald Trump wins the election.
As this may ultimately involve a subjective call, I wonโt be trading in this market.
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@ismellpillows it was fun playing, yโall!
My twinโs still open:
Despite his endless claims about election fraud, Musk told the Atlantic this month he would accept the results of the 2024 election โ with a caveat.
โIf there are questions of election integrity, they should be properly investigated and neither be dismissed out of hand nor unreasonably questioned,โ he said. โIf, after review of the election results, it turns out that Kamala wins, that win should be recognized and not disputed.โ
@dominic no, if he echoes, shares, or fabricates a lie about something which has been demonstrably proven to be true, this is disputing the results of the election.
Trump crossed from skeptic to denier after losing the lawsuits, not before.
It seems plausible to me that Trump denies the results in social media and then Elon shares a link to Trump's post.. even if that doesn't imply Elon himself denies the results ๐ค