• Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator's comment, in response to a query about constitutional eligibility, suggests that the market considers the possibility of changes to constitutional eligibility for Elon Musk. This implies that current ineligibility does not automatically preclude a YES resolution if legal frameworks (e.g., via a constitutional amendment) were to change to permit him to run and he subsequently does so.

• Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator specifies that the market tracks any serious candidacy effort, regardless of whether a constitutional amendment succeeds.

YES if Elon Musk either:

• Is officially recognized as a candidate by filing FEC Form 2, OR

• Appears on at least one state’s official presidential ballot by Election Day 2028.

NO otherwise. This includes scenarios where he only hints at running but never files, or if paperwork is rejected/withdrawn before ballots are printed.