Will Elon Musk deny the results of the 2024 election? 🗳️🙅‍♂️🚫
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Ṁ1356
Jan 21
39%
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Before the inauguration of the next US President (January 20th, 2025), will Elon Musk express the belief that the results of the 2024 election were rigged or stolen?

Either speaking, or posting himself, or sharing others’ posts disputing the results of the 2024 election will Resolve YES. This could be denying any state’s certification of the vote, once certified, or the outcome of entire Presidential election.

This will Resolve NO upon the inauguration of the next US President.

As this may ultimately involve a subjective call, I won’t be trading in this market.

See my twin

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If he reposts a meme referencing the election being stolen, would that count?

@tlaloc

Either speaking, or posting himself, or sharing others’ posts disputing the results of the 2024 election will Resolve YES.

As this may ultimately involve a subjective call, I won’t be trading in this market.

it’ll really come down to the content and the presentation of the meme. If he’s just sharing misinformation with no added context, this is likely a YES.

If he’s reshares it, and say “this is a crock of shit” or “this isn’t true”, that’ll be a different story.

Perhaps make this conditional on Trump losing?

Nah, I don’t love N/A results, and I like this Trump market which also isn’t conditional

I'm new to this, so maybe I'm just not familiar with how things work, but don't you lose "resolution" on the intended question if you bundle it this way? Most of the betting will just be on the election results...

my intent isn’t “resolution”, but market creation cost is basically zero now, so here. i hope you bet on this one 😊

Heh, don't mind me, just trying to get the lay of the land.

welcome to manifold!