This market concerns whether Elon Musk will endorse the democratic candidate in the next US presidential election.
Please note that this market will be resolved only after the election concludes — there will be no early resolution.
While the next US presidential election is currently scheduled for 2028, this market applies to whichever election occurs next. If, for any reason, the next election takes place before or after 2028, this market will still apply to that election.
This market is currently set to close in 2030, but the closing date may be extended. The goal is to keep the market open until the question is definitively resolved.
Author betting rules
The author of this question can place bets on it.
Resolving rules
This question will be resolved shortly after the polling stations have officially closed in all US states.
Other questions on this topic
1,000@bessarabov Endorsement of a failed Democratic candidate in the primary process followed by endorsement of GOP in general resolves no, correct? Or failed D primary endorsement followed by no endorsement in general—also no?
Wording strongly implies you’re referring specifically to the general election but want to define clarify around these edge cases.
@VandelayIndustries
Thank you for this question!
My intent was to ask about the endorsement of the party's nominee for the general election.
> Endorsement of a failed Democratic candidate in the primary process followed by endorsement of GOP in general resolves no, correct?
Correct. (And the endorsement or absent of such endorsement of GOP candidate does not matter for this market at all)
> Or failed D primary endorsement followed by no endorsement in general—also no?
Also correct.
But the endorsement made during the primaries does count if that person eventually becomes the party's nominee — in this case a repeated endorsement after nomination is not required.