If a frontier AI lab will exist outside the US before 2026, where will it be located?
17
985Ṁ229
resolved Nov 11
100%5%
Russia, India, Iran, Turkey, GCC countries or Israel
33%
Canada, UK or Australia
23%
EU countries plus Switzerland
21%
Mainland China (incl. Hong Kong)
18%
Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, or Singapore

If this question https://www.metaculus.com/questions/16640/non-us-frontier-ai-lab-before-2026/# on Metaculus resolves NO, I will resolve NA. If it resolves YES, where will the lab be located?

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