Any American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ652027
27%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?
52% chance
Any leading Chinese AI lab (e.g. Deepseek, Moonshot, Zhipu) nationalized by EOY 2027?
59% chance
America Nationalizes Major AI org before 2029
23% chance
Will OpenAI fold by EOY 2026?
13% chance
Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
47% chance
Will either OpenAI or Anthropic move their main operations away from the US by EOY 2029?
10% chance
Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026?
79% chance
Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2027?
30% chance
By what year will the first AI lab be nationalized in the US?
Frontier labs ~trusted by the AI safety community at the end of 2026?