Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
64
1kṀ8705
2026
62%
chance

The service allows anyone within some area (possibly restricted, possibly not) to hail an autonomous Tesla. They are either not able to or not required to drive it themselves.

Dec 3, 7:12pm: Will Tesla provide an autonomous driving service before the end of 2026 → Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:
predictedYES 1y
1y

Elon has once again, for iirc the 7th year running, claimed to believe that full self driving is less than a year away. https://www.youtube.com/live/3MVIWeU36ZY?feature=share&t=1769

Personally I learned he's uh unreliable about this like 5 years ago, and decided it would probably actually land in 2025, and I still feel that way.

2y

Fully self-driving cars still aren't close to ready for primetime yet, and are unlikely to get regulatory approval for a while after they are. This is a pretty easy NO bet.

Will Tesla provide an autonomous driving service before the end of 2026, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules