Will any party win more than 50% of the votes at the next UK general election?
12
52
Ṁ573Ṁ250
Dec 31
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For some context:
The last time this happened was in 1931, when the Conservative Party won 55% of all votes. Electoral Calculus' aggregate poll predicts that were an election held tomorrow, the Labour Party would win 45.6% of all votes. Note that this market refers to the popular vote, rather than the number of seats.
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