Will Scott Alexander be for or against scandal markets in December?
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17
Ṁ1200resolved Jan 11
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves immediately between 2022-12-01 and close (2022-12-31) to:
NO if Scott publicly states that scandal markets are a bad idea.
YES if Scott publicly states that scandal markets are a good idea.
N/A if his public stance is neutral/uncertain.
(yes = for, no = against)
Only the first statement will be considered, unless it was a misunderstanding/typo etc.
Scott's public stance status at open:
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-twitter-chaos-edition
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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If only this market had been a little longer, it would have gotten exciting!
For now, I think direct scandal markets are a bad idea, and more careful scandal markets like the one above should be started only with caution.
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