Strong evidence means something that would update the probability beyond 99%.
@TrippLyons I can't give all the things that would qualify since figuring that out is part of the problem. But if I were to imagine, perhaps if we have a complete theory of physics that is Turing computable. Or maybe we just need a theory that's almost complete?
@levifinkelstein Are you suggesting that the fact that Newtonian physics is Turing complete is irrelevant to this question, and we need a perfect model for this question to resolve to YES?
@TrippLyons "Are you suggesting that the fact that Newtonian physics is Turing complete is irrelevant to this question" No, but they universe seems quite a bit more strange than Newtonian mechanics, so I don't think that suffices to increase the probability that much.