Will Manifold consider the same paper to be the most important paper published in 2024 when polled in 2025 and 2030?
7
113
Ṁ167Ṁ173
2030
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the same paper wins both of these markets.
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2030?
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2025?
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