Will Manifold significantly improve discovery in 2024? (resolves based on a poll)
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Dec 31
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Right now, my trading habit is as follows: I am browsing Twitter or reading the news, then I see something interesting, a related question pops up in my head, I check if someone created the question on Manifold, and if yes I place a bet if no I make the question. I don’t discover much stuff on Manifold itself through the home page. I wonder if Manifold will significantly improve discoverability in 2024 and if other users also think it is not ideal right now.

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I just browsed the question history of someone who replied to me and found a market that was very interesting.

I thought of your market I browsed by recently and searched for it.

I think you're making a very good point.

Manifold has a difficult job here, there's a vast number of markets, and the labelling/recommending of markets whether through "algorithmic" recommendations alone, or through the user polling a very general series of interests (not subscribing to existing market categories) then an algorithm working upon those, is hard.

But I really agree that I don't have a good feedback on this site, from my personally interesting markets i haven't seen yet, versus the markets I generally see after 3 months of membership.

I'm going to subscribe to that person now because I think that's the only way I'll see them more.

@VAPOR subscribing works but also has some problems because I follow some people because we interact on here and I want to show reciprocity but I am not necessarily interested in their questions. Other people I follow I am only interested in their AI related questions but not UK elections. Even the subscription feature needs some re-work

predicts YES

@Soli Yeah subscriptions on other ones are giving me UK football for example, and I'm not satisfied with it, despite good AI questions.

It's the only possibility I have to introduce their relevant posts into my feed. Theres no algorithm for their posts plus some implicit understanding of my interests

@Soli you can also just sort by New or Random in the browse tab; that's how i find many of the markets I bet on

@duck_master good tip thank you!!

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