This will be resolved according to a poll of Manifold users, using approval voting, at the end of 2024.
Features must be roughly as specific as existing entries. For example, "Upcoming pivot" isn't specific enough to be a valid option.
I reserve myself and mods the right to remove/disqualify/etc invalid entries.
Respectfully duplicated and modified from James' market:
Update 2025-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Details:
Approval voting poll to resolve the market.
Thumbs up a comment if you think it was impactful.
Thumbs down does nothing.
Resolves to the most liked comment in a week.
Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - Cash prizes via sweepstakes (AI summary of creator comment)
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ352 | |
| 2 | Ṁ287 | |
| 3 | Ṁ133 | |
| 4 | Ṁ44 | |
| 5 | Ṁ20 |
People are also trading
@traders Approval voting poll to resolve the market. Thumbs up a comment if you think it was impactful. Thumbs down does nothing. Resolves to most liked comment in a week.
@traders Approval voting poll to resolve the market. Thumbs up a comment if you think it was impactful. Thumbs down does nothing. Resolves to most liked comment in a week.
@Bayesian According to James, the pivot should be called "Cash prizes via sweepstakes", which is different from "Real money trading". So I've added that option.
Personally, the distinction seems small to me. But I guess it's important for legal reasons.