Will Manifold successfully predict the Time's Person of the Year 2024?
43
1kṀ4379
resolved Dec 13
Resolved
YES
  • Resolves YES if the answer with the highest percentage in the POTY 2024 market is also the Time Person of the Year 2024 once it resolves. Also resolves YES if multiple top answers share the same percetange (up to 1 decimal point, if shown).

  • Resolves N/A if there is no POTY this year, or if the market results are manipulated somehow.

  • Resolves NO otherwise, including if the resolved answer is Other.

Ideally I'd hope to close this market in between the closing of the POTY market and the actual reveal.

The POTY market:

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