5
27
Ṁ65Ṁ130
2050
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve as YES if a major asteroid impact occurs anywhere on Earth before December 31, 2050. A major asteroid impact is defined as an impact event resulting in significant damage and loss of life on a regional or global scale. The impact must be confirmed by credible scientific sources.
Evidence of an asteroid impact, such as an airburst or impact crater, must be observed or detected by scientific instruments and confirmed by experts in the field. Speculation or unverified reports of impact events will not count.
If an asteroid impact is confirmed to have occurred before December 31, 2050, the question will resolve as YES. If no such impact is confirmed by that date, the question will resolve as NO.
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