Will an astronomical event (e.g., asteroid impact) wipe out humanity by 2100?
Plus
13
Ṁ6142100
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NO if humanity is still around in 2100. If we are not still around, then the resolution is up to whatever intelligent non-human beings, if any, exist in our wake. Hopefully, they will resolve it correctly based on whether or not it was a celestial disaster, like an astronomical body impacting the Earth, a violent cosmic event (e.g., supernova, GRB) happening nearby, a body's gravitational influence throwing our orbit off, etc., that did us in.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100
13% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
8% chance
Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
30% chance
Will humanity be mining asteroids by 2100?
75% chance
Conditional on first contact with aliens, will aliens wipe out humanity by 2100?
35% chance
Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2100, and what will be the cause?
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2600?
45% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
19% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?
11% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3100?
36% chance