Asteroid hits earth in 2032?
36
100แน29182033
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will we discover alien life before 2032?
9% chance
Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth?
1% chance
Will 1 kg of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will astroid 2024 YR4 hit Earth?
2% chance
Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 impact the Moon in December of 2032?
6% chance
will a whole asteroid be recovered on earth by 2030
30% chance
Will a major asteroid impact the Earth before the end of 2050?
18% chance
Will asteroid 2024 YR4 have an estimated 50% chance or greater of hitting Earth by December 31, 2026?
1% chance
Will we try to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before 2032-12-22?
2% chance
Will an astronomical event (e.g., asteroid impact) wipe out humanity by 2100?
3% chance
Sort by:
@WXTJ Per Wikipedia an asteroid is at least 1 meter across. How often are we hit by one of those?
@Jonagold https://catalina.lpl.arizona.edu/faq/how-often-do-asteroids-strike-earth
"Objects the size of the smallest asteroids, ~1-meter across (3 feet) strike a few times per year."
Not sure how well-documented these events are though?
@SaviorofPlant some are discovered before impact: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predicted_asteroid_impacts_on_Earth
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we discover alien life before 2032?
9% chance
Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth?
1% chance
Will 1 kg of asteroid material have been mined and returned to Earth by the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will astroid 2024 YR4 hit Earth?
2% chance
Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 impact the Moon in December of 2032?
6% chance
will a whole asteroid be recovered on earth by 2030
30% chance
Will a major asteroid impact the Earth before the end of 2050?
18% chance
Will asteroid 2024 YR4 have an estimated 50% chance or greater of hitting Earth by December 31, 2026?
1% chance
Will we try to deflect asteroid 2024 YR4 before 2032-12-22?
2% chance
Will an astronomical event (e.g., asteroid impact) wipe out humanity by 2100?
3% chance