Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister through the end of 2023?
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Another member of Knesset must assume the post of Prime Minister for Netanyahu to be considered officially ousted. Market resolves upon this realization, or on Jan. 1, 2024 (Israel time).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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The logistics just don't work for there to be new elections by the end of 2023; even if the coalition dissolved tomorrow, the election date is typically ~3 months later (i.e. in 2024). (Plus, it takes some time after elections for the parties to form a new coalition government.) So the only way I can reasonably see this question resolving NO is if Netanyahu dies or voluntarily resigns.
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