Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2025?
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2025?
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1kṀ12kOct 8
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resolves YES if netanyahu still retains the seat of prime minister
resolves end of day israel time
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If he is replaced, but then becomes prime minister again and remains so at the end date, how will this question resolve?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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