Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister through the end of 2023?
23
430Ṁ7246resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Another member of Knesset must assume the post of Prime Minister for Netanyahu to be considered officially ousted. Market resolves upon this realization, or on Jan. 1, 2024 (Israel time).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ236 | |
| 2 | Ṁ14 | |
| 3 | Ṁ12 | |
| 4 | Ṁ11 | |
| 5 | Ṁ10 |
Sort by:
The logistics just don't work for there to be new elections by the end of 2023; even if the coalition dissolved tomorrow, the election date is typically ~3 months later (i.e. in 2024). (Plus, it takes some time after elections for the parties to form a new coalition government.) So the only way I can reasonably see this question resolving NO is if Netanyahu dies or voluntarily resigns.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?
76% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
17% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will Netanyahu stay the Prime Minister of Israel until July 15th 2025?
89% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
86% chance
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2025?
77% chance
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?
55% chance
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2027?
13% chance
If the Israel-Hamas ceasefire lasts according to the agreement, will Netanyahu still be PM by the end of July 2025?
72% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu stop being prime minister of Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas war
14% chance