Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister through the end of 2023?
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Another member of Knesset must assume the post of Prime Minister for Netanyahu to be considered officially ousted. Market resolves upon this realization, or on Jan. 1, 2024 (Israel time).
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The logistics just don't work for there to be new elections by the end of 2023; even if the coalition dissolved tomorrow, the election date is typically ~3 months later (i.e. in 2024). (Plus, it takes some time after elections for the parties to form a new coalition government.) So the only way I can reasonably see this question resolving NO is if Netanyahu dies or voluntarily resigns.
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