Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister through the end of 2023?
Basic
23
Ṁ7246resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Another member of Knesset must assume the post of Prime Minister for Netanyahu to be considered officially ousted. Market resolves upon this realization, or on Jan. 1, 2024 (Israel time).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
The logistics just don't work for there to be new elections by the end of 2023; even if the coalition dissolved tomorrow, the election date is typically ~3 months later (i.e. in 2024). (Plus, it takes some time after elections for the parties to form a new coalition government.) So the only way I can reasonably see this question resolving NO is if Netanyahu dies or voluntarily resigns.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2025?
70% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?
31% chance
If the Israel-Hamas ceasefire lasts according to the agreement, will Netanyahu still be PM by the end of July 2025?
70% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the end of 2025?
34% chance
Will Netanyahu stay the Prime Minister of Israel until July 15th 2025?
75% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
8% chance
Will Netanyahu remain Prime Minister through January 31, 2025?
99% chance
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?
32% chance
When will Benjamin Netanyahu be replaced as Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
86% chance