Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister through the end of 2023?
23
430แน7246resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Another member of Knesset must assume the post of Prime Minister for Netanyahu to be considered officially ousted. Market resolves upon this realization, or on Jan. 1, 2024 (Israel time).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน236 | |
| 2 | แน14 | |
| 3 | แน12 | |
| 4 | แน11 | |
| 5 | แน10 |
Sort by:
The logistics just don't work for there to be new elections by the end of 2023; even if the coalition dissolved tomorrow, the election date is typically ~3 months later (i.e. in 2024). (Plus, it takes some time after elections for the parties to form a new coalition government.) So the only way I can reasonably see this question resolving NO is if Netanyahu dies or voluntarily resigns.
People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
42% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the end of 2026?
64% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
95% chance
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?
57% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the leader of the Likud party for the next Israeli legislative elections? ๐ณ๏ธ
91% chance
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2027?
36% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the IsraelโHamas war ends?
31% chance
Will Bibi still be the prime minister of Israel in 2027?
41% chance
Will anyone but Netanyahu be Isreali PM before the end of 2029
85% chance