Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution? | Manifold

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

8

110Ṁ246

2027

67%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

YES if a major, new AI model (released within 6 months) correctly predicts the final outcome of this specific market when prompted with the market text 90 days after its launch. Otherwise, NO.

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bought Ṁ20 NO

If prompted for 90%, I would expect it to not venture a guess?

@HenriThunberg I have changed the description

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