Will there be a head of state and/or government of a G20 country with a background in Effective Altrusim (EA) by 2035?
Plus
16
Ṁ7912035
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To qualify the person would need to have worked for/in an EA aligned organisation or have been somehow directly involved with EA orgs/discussion groups for at least 6 continuous months at some point in their lives. This also includes involvement at university/school level.
Proof of this could simply be statements made by the person which explicitly indicate their involvement (over 6 months), ie wouldn't necessarily have to be an employement contract etc
I will exclude monarchs in constitutional monarchies eg the British royals will not be taken into consideration
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any head of state/government publicly mention the Effective Altruism movement in 2024?
14% chance
Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?
53% chance
Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?
75% chance
Will any G20 member government collapse by end 2030?
23% chance
Will a (new) technocratic government emerge by 2050?
57% chance
Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
40% chance
Will an AI be elected into any political office in any country before 2035?
24% chance
Will an AI get elected as a politician by 2050?
32% chance
Will any country in the world have a transgender head of state by 2050?
63% chance
Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the UK Parliament by January 2025?
32% chance