Any member currently in the G20 qualifies, including the EU itself but not any EU countries that don't have independent membership.
YES if any member does any of the following:
ceases to exist
becomes a government in exile, losing actual control over territory
is annexed by another nation or entity and loses sovereign status
Irrelevant:
minor name changes
change in government format or ruling party (Roman Republic -> Roman Empire)
partial loss of territory
civil war, so long as one faction retains the original identity
Otherwise resolves NO at the end of 2030.
Pair with:
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will any G20 member government collapse by end 2025?
8% chance
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
39% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
14% chance
What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030?
Will The Great Reset happen by 2030?
34% chance
Will any of the following Western countries abandon democracy by 2030?
24% chance
Will Zimbabwe Gold collapse by 2030?
58% chance
Will society collapse by 2040?
14% chance
Will Poland join G20 before 2030?
44% chance
Will China collapse before 2030
11% chance