Will any G20 member government collapse by end 2025?
19
222Ṁ3643resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any member currently in the G20 qualifies, including the EU itself but not any EU countries that don't have independent membership.
YES if any member does any of the following:
ceases to exist
becomes a government in exile, losing actual control over territory
is annexed by another nation or entity and loses sovereign status
Irrelevant:
minor name changes
change in government format or ruling party (Roman Republic -> Roman Empire)
partial loss of territory
civil war, so long as one faction retains the original identity
Otherwise resolves NO at the end of 2025.
Pair with:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ61 | |
| 2 | Ṁ34 | |
| 3 | Ṁ32 | |
| 4 | Ṁ12 | |
| 5 | Ṁ10 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any G20 member government collapse by end 2030?
23% chance
Will any one of these Inflation, Recession, Social unrest (more) happen in 2025?
5% chance
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
1% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will China collapse before 2030
10% chance
Will society collapse by 2040?
11% chance
Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?
85% chance
Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
4% chance
Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?
25% chance