Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
42
83
แน€1k
2030
37%
chance

Resolves yes if there's a company formed after Jan 1 2020 that is worth more than 1 trillion US dollars before 2030. Can be anytime, doesn't have to be worth 1 trillion on jan 1 2030.

Has to be either publicly traded or a company that has raised >10 billion in funding (to get a semi accurate value).

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This is basically a market on whether Anthropic or some other new company not yet created is worth $1T by 2030 IMO. I would guess no

ChatGPT says below 50%, so we're going with that.

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