Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?
16
90
1k
2027
33%
chance

I have vague plans to launch a deep tech climate-focused start-up in the next 3 years. I have one idea for it which I've been lightly investigating the last few months.

I'll be attending graduate school starting in Fall (see https://manifold.markets/ArunJohnson/will-i-graduate-with-a-phd-in-3-yea?r=QXJ1bkpvaG5zb24) While there I might further develop this idea, come up with another idea, or meet someone with an idea who I'd like to co-found a company with.

To resolve YES, I must be founder or co-founder of a legally incorporated company that has raised at least $100k in funding (grants, venture capital, etc.)

Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ100 of NO

you’ll still be in school by then!