1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
Basic
4
Ṁ322030
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
One of the 2023 fellows will have founded a company with valuation >1B by 2030
Note: it should be a single company; two fellows companies of 500m each does not count.
The list:
Akshaya Dinesh: Spellbound
Alex Singer: Voldex
Ethan Thornton: Mach Industries
Hugo Chrost: Solvemed
Ian Michael Brock: Dream Hustle Code
Jake Adler: Neusleep
John Guibas: Succinct
John McElhone: CropSafe
Kai Micah Mills: Cryopets
Kesava Kirupa Dinakaran: Luminai
Kian Sadeghi: Nucleus Genomics
Markie Wagner: Delphi Labs
Michael Ioffe: Arist
Nik Shevchenko: WeLoveNoCode
Quinn Favret: Tavus
Reiss Jones: Macro Energy
Samarth Athreya: Axiome
Sara Du: Mutiny
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
10B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
33% chance
A least twenty Thiel fellow founded companies are estimated to be worth >1B USD before 2034
67% chance
Will 2022 Atlas Fellows launch startups worth >$100 million by the end of 2024?
83% chance
Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
30% chance
Will more than 15 percent of the thiel fellowship 2025 be hardware startups
47% chance
Will any medical+AI/LLM startup surpass 1b estimated valuation anytime through 2024?
80% chance
AI: Valuation above $1T by 2025
38% chance
Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?
54% chance
Will a company on Shark Tank accept an offer at a record setting valuation (>$25M) in 2024?
18% chance
Will Elon Musk found another billion dollar company by 2030?
38% chance