Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if, by 11:59:59 PM ET on Sunday 24 May 2026, both the US and Iran publicly indicate that they have agreed to, accepted, or announced a draft deal, framework agreement, memorandum of understanding, or substantially similar preliminary agreement between the US and Iran.

For resolution, I will use official public statements from the White House, US State Department, US President, US Secretary of State, Iranian Foreign Ministry, Iranian President, Iranian Supreme Leader, Iranian top negotiator, or Iranian state media quoting one of those officials. Reuters/AP/AFP reports may be used to verify the timing and content of such public statements.