
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
50
1kṀ14k2026
8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there are two consecutive negative quarters.
https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Based on 'Third Estimate' figures.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
7% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will the US experience a recession during 2026?
40% chance
US recession in 2026?
33% chance
United States Recession by End of Q2?
1% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
3% chance
US Recession in 2025?
7% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
8% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by the end of 2025?
15% chance