Who will have the most negative referred profit on Manifold at the end of 2024?
8
331Ṁ79resolved Jan 2
As @ByrneHobart puts it: Dumb money makes smart markets.
Who will contribute the most to Manifold's accuracy?
The referred profits statistic is available on the leaderboard for top referrers.
Update 2025-02-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
If an unnamed referrer achieves the highest negative referred profit, the market will be resolved to "Other".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ8 | |
| 2 | Ṁ6 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 |
Sort by:
memestiny is at -Ṁ2,307,531
EliezerYudowsky is at +Ṁ418,040
QuantumObserver is at +Ṁ109,952
firstuserhere is banned.
Since at least one unnamed option beats all other explicitly given options, I'm resolving to "Other"
I still think negative referrals is net good! We can't all be sharks.
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