Will I ever be net positive (real money) on Manifold before 2030?
13
1kแน€326
2030
30%
chance

Resolves YES if I feel I've gotten more money or other items of material value out of Manifold than I've put in. Charity donations count as material value, so if I make 10 million mana and donate it all, that'll count. But if charity donations go away and I can't do anything useful with mana I acquire, that doesn't count.

It would also count if my time on Manifold contributes to getting me a job offer or something else of more concrete value than just "fun".

My time counts as 0 value, unless I'm doing explicit work for someone who hired me, in which case I'll value my time at the next highest job prospect I have.

I will also count @TobiasVyseri's profits towards this. (For example, she profited a few hundred dollars from the playing cards that Manifold paid her to design for Manifest.)

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