Will someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before EOY 2025?
22
170Ṁ4796
Jan 1
1%
chance

Link: https://manifold.markets/leaderboards

  • Update 2025-09-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - 'Ghost of Evan' will not count toward this market's resolution.

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bought Ṁ868 NO

even if every user on the site bet their entire net worth against one guy who then won they wouldn’t be a third of the way. The total mana supply is like 300mil

@brod https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-someone-reach-1b-mana-profit-o-2O2lNnzUZO

Does Ghost of Evan count?

@Chumchulum Since that was reverted, I think it shouldn't?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 yea idts lol

bought Ṁ10 NO

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People are also trading

Who will be the first user to reach 10M mana in profit?
Will someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before EOY 2027?
18% chance
Will the per-capita mana supply on Manifold decrease in any month before the end of 2025?
95% chance
Will someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before One Piece ends?
35% chance
Will my all-time profit exceed 100,000 mana by 2027?
57% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?
20% chance
What will be my all-time mana profit (in thousands) at the end of each month in 2025?
Will my net worth exceed 1e30 mana on dev.manifold.markets by EOY 2025?
16% chance
Will I reach 50k mana by January 1st 2026?
31% chance
How many active mana traders will Manifold have (7 day average) at the end of 2026?
930
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