Who will own Manifold at the end of 2024?
Manifold Business Future
9
48
Dec 31
53%
Founders (Austin, Stephen, James)
15%
Employees
4%
FTX
5%
Other investors
1.3%
Elon Musk
1.3%
Stripe
3%
The public (eg in an IPO)
0.6%
Google
0.7%
Kalshi
0.7%
Polymarket
0.7%
Devansh Pandey
I'll resolve this market to the proportional equity distribution in our C Corporation at the end of 2024. FWIW Manifold's current cap table, at a $22M valuation, looks like: ~16% to all investors (see http://bit.ly/manifold-seed ) ~16.8% to the employee option pool ~22.4% to each founder (Austin, Stephen, James)
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answered
Employees
bought Ṁ10
Is this one of those markets where the results of the predictions affect the outcome? ;)
answered
FTX
(Currently, FTX FF has invested in 7.5% of Manifold, via regrantor Linchuan Zhang)
answered
FTX
bought Ṁ7
Either Future Fund, or directly

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