Will PredictIt still be operating markets through the end of 2023?
63
331
1K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

Resolves NO if PredictIt ceases operating markets at any time in 2023 (excluding temporary unavailability for technical issues). Resolves YES otherwise.

Background: PredictIt was ordered by the CFTC to shut down all markets by Feb 15, 2023. However, on January 26 an appeals court granted an injunction allowing PredictIt to continue to operate while a court case is considered.

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How does the market resolve if PredictIt is technically open, but on hiatus, with no new markets being created, no existing markets open, but also a viable plan for returning to normal operation?

predicted NO

@Lorxus If there are no existing markets open for trading, that would not count as "operating markets" and therefore be a NO

How will this resolve if markets are operational, but not within the US?

bought Ṁ750 of NO

@kenakofer Resolves YES in that case.