Which of the following things will happen in the Iran-Israel conflict by the end of 2025?
47
275Ṁ2696Dec 31
98%
Israel and Iran go to war
62%
The U.S. goes to war with Iran
36%
The US sinks at least one Iranian navy vessel
20%
Crude oil prices top $100
16%
Ayatollah Khamenei is deposed
11%
At least 10,000 Iranian civilians are killed
11%
The Strait of Hormuz is closed
10%
Benjamin Netanyahu is deposed
6%
World War 3 starts
4%
At least 1,000 Israeli civilians are killed
2%
A nuclear weapon is used offensively
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
5% chance
Will Israel topple the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will there be a war between Israel and Iran before January 2026?
13% chance
Outcome in Iran by end of 2025? [Read description]
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Israel attack Turkey or Iraq by the end of 2025?
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
6% chance