Resolves YES if OpenAI's GPT-4 has 500 billion or more parameters at the time of initial release. Otherwise NO.
This is a mirror of this Polymarket question and will resolve the same way: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gpt-4-have-500b-parameters/will-gpt-4-have-500b-parameters, except if Polymarket resolves 50-50, their version of ambiguous, this question resolves N/A. (This exception means that the two questions are not equivalent, because there is a significant chance the number of parameters will not be publicly reported by the close date.)
Details:
This market covers how many parameters GPT-4 has at the time of its initial release, and will resolve based on that number regardless of whether that figure is later increased or decreased.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting (including corroborating statements from employees of OpenAI where available) may also be used.
Even in the unlikely case the Polymarket question is obviously misresolved, this question will still resolve to the same.




















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