Covid a lab leak?
29
1kṀ1883
2050
60%
chance

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Ṁ1,000
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bought Ṁ30 YES

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd9qjjj4zy5o

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Arbitrage:

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory

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Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
34% chance
If Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?
Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?
32% chance
Will we ever know whether COVID-19 came from a lab?
43% chance
Who will support a lab leak theory of Covid's origin, in 2030?
Will the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
2% chance
Wide acceptance of Lab Leak hypothesis for COVID only within 3 months of Fauci passing away
8% chance
Was the 2021 Ebola outbreak caused by a lab leak?
14% chance
Will we ever have any idea (see description) whether COVID-19 came from a lab?
60% chance
Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?
16% chance
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