[The original market resolves NO before January 2080]

[The original market resolves NO before January 2030]

[All open months are continuously over 90% for at least 7 days because of new information linked in the comments, before January 2026]

[The original market resolves N/A and remains N/A for at least a year, before January 2026]

This market is a derivative of the existing largest market about the laboratory release theory:

This is an unlinked market, where months can resolve independently. 

If the original market resolves YES, all future months resolve YES. If the original market resolves NO, all future months resolve NO. Otherwise, a month resolves NO if it arrives without the original market having resolved YES. I will add new months as old months expire, and can add more months by request.

The original market must resolve and stay resolved to count for this market, so this does not include cases such as accidental misclick resolutions, rogue moderator misresolutions, etc. The original market creator intends to resolve their market only when they are certain of the truth and have conferred extensively with the manifold community, so we should not expect any cases of incorrect resolution and re-resolution. The creator cites “the level of evidence in favor of anthropogenic climate change”, which we can all agree is a settled matter.

In edge cases such as the market being N/A-ed or the creator permanently leaving manifold before the question can be resolved, I will attempt to still continue running this derivative market according to the spirit of the original question, conferring with the original market creator if possible and never resolving according to my own judgment of the question. If necessary, I will appoint an heir to run this market using the same methodology.

This market also includes meta-options about the other options. If you would like to submit an interesting meta option, let me know in a comment or DM and if I like it I'll use the new toggle Manifold just released to open the market for submissions so you can add it yourself and get unique trader bonuses for anyone who bets on it.