Will there be an AI Winter between 2022 and 2026? | Manifold

Will there be an AI Winter between 2022 and 2026?

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2027

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sold Ṁ27 YES

I am selling my investment before the value of Mana is decreased to a tenth of its current value on May 1 2024.

If I use ChatGPT this coming winter counts as yes?

What criteria will you use to resolve this market?

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Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Which AI will be the best at the end of 2024?

Will software-side AI scaling appear to be suddenly discontinuous before 2025?

Will an AI winter happen by 2030?

Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?

Are we about to hit another AI winter?

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

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Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2028?

Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2026?

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