Will there be an AI Winter between 2022 and 2026? | Manifold

Will there be an AI Winter between 2022 and 2026?

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sold Ṁ27 YES

I am selling my investment before the value of Mana is decreased to a tenth of its current value on May 1 2024.

If I use ChatGPT this coming winter counts as yes?

What criteria will you use to resolve this market?

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+5% 1d22% chance

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Related questions

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will an AI winter happen by 2030?

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2026?

Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2028?

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2030?

Will the AI bubble pop in 2026?

If an AI winter happens before 2030, what is the most likely reason for it?

Will humans deliberately cause an AI winter?

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