Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?
118
1.3kṀ13k2045
30%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Are we DOOMED or will Bill Gates save us?
If global warming is under 2°C at the end of 2045 this resolves YES, otherwies NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a major country achieve complete carbon neutrality by 2040?
55% chance
Will we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
3% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
20% chance
Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
78% chance
Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?
5% chance
Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
60% chance
Conditional on at least 3 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
74% chance