Will I live to at least 1,000 years old?

Plus

Ṁ5350

2988

21%

chance

ALL

I'd like to live forever. I'm reasonably healthy, age 35, cardio exercise regularly, not overweight, don't smoke cigarettes, don't drive.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

8 Comments

31 Holders

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Why such modest goals?
/evergreenemily/will-i-live-until-100000

Half as likely as Daniel 😢

predicts NO

@PS Damn, Daniel

@hrdwdmrbl Not just him!

https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/will-nathanpmyoung-live-to-1000

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000

12% chance. [tweet]

predicts NO

@PS I did put 888 against so I myself am really dragging down the results. Prove me wrong!! and arbitrage bigly!

predicts NO

@hrdwdmrbl For the record, it is my #1 wish to live forever, but ATM I’m not seeing a plausible path.

I’m sure this isn’t the first time Manifold has seen a market like this one, but how will you resolve this market in the event of untimely death?

predicts NO

@XTXinverseXTY My SO will have account access. Or the market will naturally go to 0 just by bets because i haven’t been seen in a couple hundred years 😄

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