Will Trump get a third term in office?
Plus
11
Ṁ37212040
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Trump break the 22nd amendment and get a third term? I don’t know if it would violent, or somehow peaceful, but resolves positively if Trump gets inaugurated president a third time.
For the record I’m completely against this in every way possible, but I think it’s important to model risks.
Update 2025-21-01 (PST): - Does not resolve positively in cases of:
Clones
Uploads
Simulations
Any other non-traditional means. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@spider doesn’t resolve positively on any of those. I want to be around to see the end date, I decided 2040 was a good time.
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