Will Trump get a third term in office?
66
1kṀ18k2040
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Trump break the 22nd amendment and get a third term? I don’t know if it would violent, or somehow peaceful, but resolves positively if Trump gets inaugurated president a third time.
For the record I’m completely against this in every way possible, but I think it’s important to model risks.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?
20% chance
Will Trump finish his second term?
80% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive at the end of his term?
Trump seriously attempts 3rd term in 2028?
30% chance
Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
31% chance
Will Trump be impeached a 3rd time while in his second term in office?
64% chance
Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?
59% chance
Will Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?
11% chance
Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
22% chance
If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
30% chance