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MANIFOLD
Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?
70
Ṁ1kṀ20k
2029
64%
chance

Resolves when the House passes articles of impeachment, or whenever Trump leaves office (presumably no later than the end of his second term).

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@mods can we reopen?

The Caroline Ellison thing was one thing, but this Worst Boyfriend Ever saga is just really gross. I feel myself pretty disgusted with Austin Chen and don't want to have to think about Manifold ever. I am resolving all my markets to N/A and leaving.

@zax While that whole thing is... a thing, I don't want to kneecap everybody who traded on this market. I want to restore the faith that these markets actually mean something when people take the risk of trading.

I will take responsibility of this market. If anybody wants me to review new evidence, please ping me with a pertinent link.