If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term? | Manifold

If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term?

🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election ️ Politics 🇺🇸 US Politics Trump Republican Party

Basic

14

Ṁ2.6k

2029

57%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves N/A if Trump doesn’t win the 2024 election. Otherwise, resolves Yes if Trump is President through his entire second term.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

What does N/A do? Everyone gets their money back?

Since Vance is not a great pick, want to know what the perceived chances of Trump not finishing his term is, to determine how much damage Vance could potentially do to the ticket.

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-4% 1d28% chance

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