Will the Vesuvius Challenge actually succeed?
23
713
450
resolved Feb 5
Resolved
YES

Similar to the below market but it's specifically asking whether I, the market creator, will judge it to have been a success. If they retroactively change the grand prize criteria to be less strict, it's possible the below question will resolve YES, but I might resolve it NO.

I'll very likely only resolve this market YES if someone manages to read at least one scroll and there is at least moderate confidence that it's not hallucinated. Ultimately resolution is at my discretion.

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Should resolve yes; they didn't need to resort to changing the grand prize criteria and there is no chance that the passage they produced is hallucinated.

extended trading to Feb 1

@fortenforge Can you please resolve? (If you need an extension, please let us know).