Conditional on China Not Supplying Arm to Russia in 2023, will China invade Taiwan before the end of 2028?
5
26
150
2028
15%
chance

This market resolves, no later than end of 2028, with criterion identical to the first market below, with the exception that, if the second market resolves to something other than No, this market will resolve to N/A immediately.

In the case that the invasion occurs before end of 2023, this resolves N/A.

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