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MANIFOLD
Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026?
2
แน€1kแน€100
2027
45%
chance

This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Ukraine's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report. If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.


If Ukraine's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.

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