Will there be a serious incident caused by AI before 2030? (AI Chernobyl) | Manifold

Will there be a serious incident caused by AI before 2030? (AI Chernobyl)

10

Ṁ1kṀ1.3k

2029

23%

chance

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6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Criteria:

single, connected incident (not a gradual process)
(> 100 human casualties OR > 100 million usd damage)

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